Current regime
AmberElevated stress, high conviction. Canada enacts dollar for dollar retaliatory tariffs on United States goods as trade talks collapse and Fed hawkish pivot reopens rate hike odds.
US macro risk monitor · global escalation & narrative overlays · published weekly
Geopolitical risk, translated for portfolios
Macro regime signals, information-warfare market impact and escalation risk, priced for investment professionals. Structured risk factors with explicit asset-class relevance and stated time horizons.
Scope, stated up front. The deterministic risk monitor is United States only — every source behind it is a US publisher. The escalation and narrative streams are global. Non-US macro coverage is not built yet, and nothing on this page implies that it is. See the monitor’s own scope note →
Every figure on this site is traceable to a named publisher and a dated cycle. Where a reading is missing it is published as a gap rather than filled in.
- 3
- Monitor sources
- 5
- Risk factor dimensions
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- Monitors in the report
- Weekly
- Publication cycle
This week
The current cycle, summarised. Each card opens the surface it came from — the summary is never the only place a number appears.
Macro health composite
Deteriorating0.38 and falling. A single scalar over five components, published beside its component board so it can be checked against its parts.
Full brief
Issue 7The headline, the judgments behind it, the jurisdiction matrix and the scenario framework, with every source shown at its tier.
Directional risk assessment for information purposes only — not investment advice.
Three intelligence streams, synthesised for investment relevance
Macro regime signals
Rates, FX, the credit cycle and commodity price regime shifts. Central bank policy divergence and fiscal trajectory monitoring.
Deterministic coverage is US only. Other jurisdictions appear as narrative and escalation context, not as measured indicators.
Narrative & information risk
How information operations, cognitive warfare campaigns and narrative shifts move markets and policy. Unique to Asymmetric Investor.
Escalation & conflict premium
Geopolitical risk premium for portfolios and supply chains. Escalation triggers, corridor disruption and sanctions-cascade scenarios.
Built on the Asymmetric Intelligence engine
The same methodology that powers seven public-interest monitors at asym-intel.info, extended with market-data overlays, structured risk factors and explicit portfolio implications. Intelligence, not advice.
Source-tiered
A five-tier source hierarchy, from primary institutional data down to the financial press. Every signal is traceable to its origin, and the tier is shown rather than implied.
Confidence-scored
Confirmed, High or Assessed confidence on every signal. Conviction is measured by indicator agreement, not analyst intuition.
Severity-rated
Warning, Elevated or Green against documented crisis thresholds. Direction multipliers amplify or dampen scores for momentum signals.
Choose your subscription
Your subscription directly funds the free, public-interest intelligence network at asym-intel.info.
Every report on this site is free until 2027. Subscriptions are not open and no payment can be taken. The rates below are the planned pricing for when they do open — published now so the eventual cost is not a surprise, not because anything is for sale today.
Individual
£49/month
Planned 2027 rate
Full weekly intelligence report with structured risk factors, asset-class relevance and time horizons.
- Weekly cross-monitor intelligence report (GMM + FCW + SCEM + AIM + ERM + ESA + WDM)
- Structured risk factors
- Report archive
Annual
Two months free£449/year
Planned 2027 rate
Everything in Individual, billed annually.
- Everything in Individual
- Annual billing discount
- Priority support
Founding member
First 50 at launch£35/month
Planned 2027 rate
When subscriptions open in 2027, a locked rate for the first 50 subscribers, with a lifetime price guarantee. Not claimable yet.
- Everything in Individual
- Lifetime price lock
- Early access to new features
- Founding member badge
Subscribe
Weekly, on a fixed cycle. If a cycle is late or a source is unavailable, the site says so on every affected surface rather than showing you last week’s number as though it were current.
Paid subscriptions open in 2027. Until then every issue is published free and in full, with no signup and no paywall. The list below exists only so the week’s roundup reaches you without your having to remember to come back for it.
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